Auburn
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 82.2691Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 A Baylor B12 ( 4- 8, 73.4) 38-24 906 H Ball St MIDA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 42- 3 913 H So Alabama SUN ( 4- 8, 67.5) 31-15 920 A Oklahoma SEC (10- 3, 87.3) 17-24 927 A Texas A&M SEC (11- 1, 90.4) 10-16 1011 H Georgia SEC (12- 2, 92.2) 10-20 1018 H Missouri SEC ( 8- 5, 84.0) 17-23 1025 A Arkansas SEC ( 2-10, 78.1) 33-24 1101 H Kentucky SEC ( 5- 7, 78.7) 3-10 1108 A Vanderbilt SEC (10- 3, 88.7) 38-45 1122 H Mercer 62-17 1129 H Alabama SEC (11- 4, 89.4) 20-27
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 A Baylor 38-24 14 4 +++ 10.34
906 H Ball St 42- 3 39 22 0.00
913 H So Alabama 31-15 16 20 0.00
920 A Oklahoma 17-24 -7 -10 + 3.33
927 A Texas A&M 10-16 -6 -13 +++ 7.44
1011 H Georgia 10-20 -10 -5 -- -5.37
1018 H Missouri 17-23 -6 4 --- -9.53
1025 A Arkansas 33-24 9 -1 +++ 10.05
1101 H Kentucky 3-10 -7 9 --- -15.81
1108 A Vanderbilt 38-45 -7 -12 ++ 4.69
1129 H Alabama 20-27 -7 -2 -- -5.14
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Missouri 17-23 -6 4 --- -9.53 1101 H Kentucky 3-10 -7 9 --- -15.81 1011 H Georgia 10-20 -10 -5 -- -5.37 1129 H Alabama 20-27 -7 -2 -- -5.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 829 A Baylor 38-24 14 4 +++ 10.34 927 A Texas A&M 10-16 -6 -13 +++ 7.44 1025 A Arkansas 33-24 9 -1 +++ 10.05 1108 A Vanderbilt 38-45 -7 -12 ++ 4.69 920 A Oklahoma 17-24 -7 -10 + 3.33 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Baylor ( 4- 8, 73.4) 38-24 -26.55 24.67 5.26 1.16 69.39
3 H Ball St ( 4- 8, 65.1) 42- 3 -34.82 16.40 -5.26 1.16 25.83
3 H So Alabama ( 4- 8, 67.5) 31-15 -32.42 18.80 -5.26 1.16 31.38
3 A Oklahoma (10- 3, 87.3) 17-24 -12.56 38.66 5.26 1.16 -4.23
3 A Texas A&M (11- 1, 90.4) 10-16 -9.45 41.77 5.26 1.16 -2.43
3 H Georgia (12- 2, 92.2) 10-20 -7.75 43.47 -5.26 1.16 -7.54
3 H Missouri ( 8- 5, 84.0) 17-23 -15.90 35.32 -5.26 1.16 -12.26
3 A Arkansas ( 2-10, 78.1) 33-24 -21.84 29.38 5.26 1.16 80.31
3 H Kentucky ( 5- 7, 78.7) 3-10 -21.19 30.03 -5.26 1.16 -15.33
3 A Vanderbilt (10- 3, 88.7) 38-45 -11.21 40.01 5.26 1.16 -3.45
3 H Alabama (11- 4, 89.4) 20-27 -10.51 40.71 -5.26 1.16 -9.14
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152.54
|
winning pts = 206.9097 losing points = -54.3702
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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